Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 1.101765 1.252008 1.415717 1.607427 1.825893 2.067237 2.354283
2025-12-21 0.852001 1.051716 1.288279 1.589532 1.963577 2.413554 2.997251
2025-12-28 0.740913 0.968708 1.254670 1.640809 2.149981 2.800380 3.697445
2026-01-04 0.635900 0.870983 1.180305 1.618360 2.225004 3.038819 4.219174
2026-01-11 0.577074 0.823010 1.160132 1.657812 2.377210 3.384619 4.911811
2026-01-18 0.519721 0.768286 1.121629 1.662919 2.475857 3.658799 5.524588
2026-01-25 0.464967 0.710018 1.070023 1.640355 2.527210 3.863617 6.049107
2026-02-01 0.415219 0.653228 1.013625 1.602507 2.548040 4.019617 6.508113
2026-02-08 0.373257 0.603727 0.962681 1.566377 2.565180 4.167353 6.963143
2026-02-15 0.347636 0.577347 0.944866 1.580247 2.662046 4.448334 7.660833
2026-02-22 0.320982 0.546486 0.916502 1.573029 2.721461 4.670331 8.276634
2026-03-01 0.295050 0.514269 0.882672 1.552618 2.754967 4.849008 8.830561
2026-03-08 0.264398 0.473512 0.834780 1.510735 2.760487 5.003709 9.405726
2026-03-15 0.240496 0.442743 0.802105 1.494300 2.813503 5.255472 10.204946
2026-03-22 0.228735 0.432562 0.804795 1.542417 2.990573 5.753430 11.533947
2026-03-29 0.209079 0.405381 0.773123 1.521349 3.031560 5.995184 12.382649
2026-04-05 0.198700 0.394831 0.771586 1.558374 3.190423 6.483648 13.793361
2026-04-12 0.185627 0.377535 0.755049 1.563166 3.283602 6.848533 14.986483
2026-04-19 0.171126 0.355825 0.727468 1.541991 3.319592 7.097509 15.956273
2026-04-26 0.156689 0.332770 0.694828 1.506471 3.320437 7.270653 16.775813
2026-05-03 0.143847 0.311808 0.664478 1.472562 3.320724 7.441664 17.609818
2026-05-10 0.136291 0.301526 0.655813 1.485579 3.427719 7.862129 19.083409
2026-05-17 0.127742 0.288200 0.639220 1.478805 3.488085 8.181676 20.351225